Index of Commodity Prices January 2016

Preliminary estimates for January indicate that the index declined by 2.9 per cent (on a monthly average basis) in SDR terms, after declining by 3.9 per cent in December (revised). The decline was led by the prices of oil and the bulk commodities. The base metals and rural subindices declined slightly in the month. In Australian dollar terms, the index was little changed in January.

Over the past year, the index has fallen by 25.8 per cent in SDR terms, led by declines in the prices of bulk commodities. The index has fallen by 17.2 per cent in Australian dollar terms over the past year.

Consistent with previous releases, preliminary estimates for iron ore, coking coal and thermal coal export prices are being used for the most recent months, based on market information. Using spot prices for these commodities, the index declined by 0.8 per cent in January in SDR terms, to be 26.5 per cent lower over the past year.

For further details regarding the construction of the index, please refer to ‘Changes to the RBA Index of Commodity Prices: 2013’ in the March 2013 issue of the Bulletin and ‘Weights for the Index of Commodity Prices’ (April 2015).