RBA Annual Conference – 2003 Stock Market Volatility and Monetary Policy: What the Historical Record Shows

Table 8: Effect of Monetary Policy and Capital Controls on Stock Return Standard Deviation
Monthly data
Australia Canada Denmark Finland France Italy Japan Sweden Switzerland UK US
Starting month 1957:1 1957:1 1957:1 1969:1 1957:1 1962:1 1963:1 1960:1 1957:1 1880:1 1907:1
Money supply 1.086
(0.184)
0.098
(0.096)
1.051
(0.166)
5.286
(4.655)
0.119
(0.064)
0.043
(0.057)
0.405
(0.119)
1.537
(0.151)
0.147
(0.089)
0.310
(0.082)
0.901
(0.183)
Capital controls 0.829
(0.137)
Dropped −0.849
(0.123)
−4.108
(0.202)
0.319
(0.127)
−1.601
(0.115)
−1.240
(0.101)
−2.380
(0.138)
−0.615
(0.126)
1.957
(0.068)
Dropped
Constant 3.528
(0.242)
4.538
(0.140)
3.176
(0.294)
8.781
(0.255)
5.010
(0.173)
7.466
(0.136)
5.909
(0.242)
5.900
(0.218)
4.686
(0.156)
1.635
(0.128)
4.173
(0.074)
R2 0.0881 0.0033 0.1358 0.6036 0.0331 0.2668 0.2566 0.590 0.1805 0.507 0.0626

Notes: Standard errors in parentheses. Money supply is at monthly frequency.

Source: Authors' calculations