RBA Annual Conference – 2006 Asymmetric Demography and Macroeconomic Interactions Across National Borders
UN medium projection | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1950–1955 | 1955–1960 | 1960–1965 | 1965–1970 | 1970–1975 | 1975–1980 | 1980–1985 | 1985–1990 | 1990–1995 | 1995–2000 | 2000–2005 | 2005–2010 | 2010–2015 | 2015–2020 | 2020–2025 | 2025–2030 | 2030–2035 | 2035–2040 | 2040–2045 | 2045–2050 | |
Source: UN Population Division (2005) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 3.73 | 3.90 | 3.61 | 2.51 | 1.97 | 1.74 | 1.63 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.56 | 1.51 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.54 | 1.61 | 1.68 | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
France | 2.73 | 2.71 | 2.85 | 2.61 | 2.31 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.81 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Germany | 2.16 | 2.30 | 2.49 | 2.32 | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.43 | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.41 | 1.48 | 1.55 | 1.62 | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Italy | 2.32 | 2.35 | 2.50 | 2.49 | 2.33 | 1.89 | 1.53 | 1.35 | 1.28 | 1.21 | 1.28 | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.66 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.85 |
Japan | 2.75 | 2.08 | 2.02 | 2.00 | 2.07 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.66 | 1.49 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.44 | 1.51 | 1.58 | 1.65 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.84 | 1.85 |
UK | 2.18 | 2.49 | 2.81 | 2.52 | 2.04 | 1.72 | 1.80 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 1.66 | 1.66 | 1.70 | 1.77 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
US | 3.45 | 3.71 | 3.31 | 2.55 | 2.02 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.92 | 2.03 | 1.99 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 1.98 | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Argentina | 3.15 | 3.13 | 3.09 | 3.05 | 3.15 | 3.44 | 3.15 | 3.05 | 2.90 | 2.63 | 2.35 | 2.25 | 2.16 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Australia | 3.18 | 3.41 | 3.27 | 2.87 | 2.54 | 2.09 | 1.93 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Brazil | 6.15 | 6.15 | 6.15 | 5.38 | 4.72 | 4.31 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.45 | 2.35 | 2.25 | 2.15 | 2.06 | 1.98 | 1.92 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
China | 6.22 | 5.59 | 5.72 | 6.06 | 4.86 | 3.32 | 2.55 | 2.46 | 1.92 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 1.74 | 1.81 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
India | 5.97 | 5.92 | 5.81 | 5.69 | 5.43 | 4.83 | 4.48 | 4.15 | 3.81 | 3.43 | 3.07 | 2.76 | 2.50 | 2.29 | 2.11 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Indonesia | 5.49 | 5.67 | 5.42 | 5.57 | 5.20 | 4.73 | 4.11 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 2.37 | 2.20 | 2.03 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Mexico | 6.87 | 6.96 | 6.82 | 6.82 | 6.60 | 5.40 | 4.30 | 3.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.40 | 2.15 | 2.03 | 1.95 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Russia | 2.85 | 2.82 | 2.55 | 2.02 | 2.03 | 1.94 | 2.03 | 2.13 | 1.55 | 1.24 | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.44 | 1.51 | 1.58 | 1.65 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Saudi Arabia | 7.18 | 7.18 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 7.30 | 7.28 | 7.05 | 6.26 | 5.65 | 4.86 | 4.09 | 3.58 | 3.17 | 2.84 | 2.57 | 2.34 | 2.15 | 1.99 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
South Africa | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 5.80 | 5.47 | 5.00 | 4.56 | 3.85 | 3.34 | 2.95 | 2.80 | 2.64 | 2.48 | 2.34 | 2.23 | 2.13 | 2.05 | 1.97 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
South Korea | 5.40 | 6.33 | 5.63 | 4.71 | 4.28 | 2.92 | 2.23 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.51 | 1.23 | 1.21 | 1.28 | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.49 | 1.56 | 1.63 | 1.70 | 1.77 |
Turkey | 6.90 | 6.60 | 6.19 | 5.70 | 5.30 | 4.72 | 4.15 | 3.27 | 2.90 | 2.69 | 2.46 | 2.31 | 2.21 | 2.11 | 2.03 | 1.96 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Guatemala | 7.00 | 6.60 | 6.50 | 6.30 | 6.20 | 6.20 | 6.10 | 5.70 | 5.45 | 5.00 | 4.60 | 4.15 | 3.71 | 3.29 | 2.92 | 2.61 | 2.35 | 2.14 | 1.97 | 1.85 |
Laos | 6.15 | 6.15 | 6.15 | 6.15 | 6.15 | 6.69 | 6.69 | 6.30 | 5.80 | 5.30 | 4.83 | 4.28 | 3.74 | 3.30 | 2.94 | 2.65 | 2.41 | 2.21 | 2.04 | 1.89 |
Mali | 7.11 | 7.11 | 7.11 | 7.35 | 7.56 | 7.56 | 7.56 | 7.47 | 7.38 | 7.22 | 6.92 | 6.58 | 6.21 | 5.80 | 5.34 | 4.85 | 4.33 | 3.85 | 3.43 | 3.10 |
Tanzania | 6.74 | 6.80 | 6.80 | 6.79 | 6.75 | 6.73 | 6.55 | 6.36 | 5.90 | 5.48 | 5.04 | 4.45 | 3.89 | 3.42 | 3.04 | 2.73 | 2.48 | 2.27 | 2.09 | 1.93 |
Yemen | 8.20 | 8.30 | 8.40 | 8.40 | 8.50 | 8.50 | 8.70 | 8.30 | 7.60 | 6.88 | 6.20 | 5.65 | 5.10 | 4.50 | 3.94 | 3.47 | 3.12 | 2.85 | 2.65 | 2.49 |