RBA Annual Conference – 2006 Asymmetric Demography and Macroeconomic Interactions Across National Borders
UN medium projection | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1950–1955 | 1955–1960 | 1960–1965 | 1965–1970 | 1970–1975 | 1975–1980 | 1980–1985 | 1985–1990 | 1990–1995 | 1995–2000 | 2000–2005 | 2005–2010 | 2010–2015 | 2015–2020 | 2020–2025 | 2025–2030 | 2030–2035 | 2035–2040 | 2040–2045 | 2045–2050 | |
Source: UN Population Division (2005) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 69.08 | 70.55 | 71.44 | 72.01 | 73.15 | 74.19 | 75.94 | 76.96 | 77.92 | 78.72 | 79.91 | 80.66 | 81.35 | 81.99 | 82.57 | 83.14 | 83.70 | 84.25 | 84.79 | 85.32 |
France | 66.52 | 69.61 | 70.96 | 71.55 | 72.35 | 73.70 | 74.72 | 76.03 | 77.48 | 78.48 | 79.39 | 80.03 | 80.68 | 81.30 | 81.91 | 82.50 | 83.08 | 83.65 | 84.21 | 84.75 |
Germany | 67.50 | 69.10 | 70.30 | 70.80 | 71.00 | 72.50 | 73.80 | 74.85 | 76.16 | 77.45 | 78.65 | 79.32 | 79.96 | 80.59 | 81.21 | 81.77 | 82.27 | 82.76 | 83.24 | 83.72 |
Italy | 66.00 | 68.48 | 69.92 | 70.97 | 72.11 | 73.59 | 74.54 | 76.24 | 77.31 | 78.81 | 79.99 | 80.58 | 81.20 | 81.80 | 82.38 | 82.95 | 83.51 | 84.06 | 84.60 | 85.14 |
Japan | 63.94 | 66.75 | 68.96 | 71.11 | 73.30 | 75.47 | 76.91 | 78.30 | 79.50 | 80.53 | 81.90 | 82.82 | 83.69 | 84.50 | 85.26 | 85.98 | 86.64 | 87.25 | 87.80 | 88.29 |
UK | 69.18 | 70.42 | 70.76 | 71.36 | 72.01 | 72.76 | 74.04 | 75.01 | 76.42 | 77.22 | 78.30 | 78.97 | 79.60 | 80.22 | 80.81 | 81.38 | 81.93 | 82.47 | 83.00 | 83.51 |
US | 68.87 | 69.67 | 70.03 | 70.38 | 71.52 | 73.32 | 74.12 | 74.65 | 75.25 | 76.53 | 77.31 | 77.92 | 78.48 | 79.07 | 79.65 | 80.22 | 80.79 | 81.35 | 81.90 | 82.45 |
Argentina | 62.49 | 64.40 | 65.14 | 65.63 | 67.07 | 68.48 | 69.94 | 70.77 | 71.87 | 73.28 | 74.34 | 75.32 | 76.22 | 77.06 | 77.83 | 78.53 | 79.18 | 79.75 | 80.28 | 80.75 |
Australia | 69.57 | 70.41 | 70.91 | 70.85 | 71.70 | 73.45 | 75.21 | 76.10 | 77.60 | 78.73 | 80.21 | 80.96 | 81.64 | 82.22 | 82.71 | 83.20 | 83.68 | 84.14 | 84.60 | 85.04 |
Brazil | 50.92 | 53.29 | 55.67 | 57.63 | 59.50 | 61.49 | 63.15 | 64.94 | 66.63 | 68.85 | 70.30 | 71.91 | 72.94 | 74.16 | 75.24 | 76.18 | 77.03 | 77.82 | 78.54 | 79.20 |
China | 40.76 | 44.61 | 49.53 | 59.58 | 63.18 | 65.33 | 66.56 | 67.06 | 68.07 | 69.70 | 71.49 | 72.59 | 73.30 | 73.84 | 74.45 | 75.27 | 76.21 | 77.12 | 77.96 | 78.73 |
India | 38.69 | 42.60 | 45.45 | 48.01 | 50.27 | 52.87 | 54.82 | 57.20 | 59.46 | 61.50 | 63.12 | 64.87 | 66.75 | 68.47 | 70.00 | 71.39 | 72.66 | 73.83 | 74.90 | 75.91 |
Indonesia | 37.47 | 39.92 | 42.52 | 45.96 | 49.20 | 52.70 | 56.16 | 60.14 | 62.64 | 64.88 | 66.53 | 68.70 | 70.00 | 71.04 | 71.99 | 73.08 | 74.18 | 75.19 | 76.09 | 76.90 |
Mexico | 50.64 | 55.11 | 58.25 | 60.08 | 62.36 | 65.09 | 67.51 | 69.59 | 71.58 | 73.69 | 74.92 | 76.21 | 77.30 | 78.21 | 78.98 | 79.63 | 80.16 | 80.60 | 80.97 | 81.25 |
Russia | 64.48 | 66.85 | 67.87 | 70.07 | 69.72 | 68.96 | 68.58 | 70.18 | 66.78 | 66.04 | 65.37 | 65.03 | 65.60 | 66.87 | 68.18 | 69.20 | 70.08 | 70.97 | 71.92 | 72.88 |
Saudi Arabia | 39.87 | 42.86 | 45.91 | 49.90 | 53.88 | 58.69 | 63.01 | 66.29 | 68.76 | 70.54 | 71.62 | 72.87 | 73.90 | 74.82 | 75.65 | 76.43 | 77.15 | 77.86 | 78.53 | 79.18 |
South Africa | 45.01 | 47.99 | 49.95 | 51.93 | 53.67 | 55.54 | 58.36 | 61.18 | 62.02 | 58.44 | 49.02 | 44.06 | 44.59 | 47.00 | 49.29 | 51.32 | 53.26 | 55.25 | 57.30 | 59.43 |
South Korea | 47.46 | 52.57 | 55.20 | 57.64 | 62.61 | 64.79 | 67.17 | 69.81 | 72.22 | 74.65 | 76.85 | 78.20 | 79.38 | 80.45 | 81.42 | 82.19 | 82.77 | 83.34 | 83.90 | 84.44 |
Turkey | 43.59 | 48.08 | 52.10 | 54.34 | 57.01 | 59.51 | 61.04 | 63.11 | 66.15 | 67.82 | 68.57 | 69.75 | 71.03 | 72.31 | 73.45 | 74.46 | 75.36 | 76.19 | 76.96 | 77.67 |
Guatemala | 42.01 | 44.11 | 46.90 | 49.94 | 53.65 | 55.94 | 57.86 | 60.32 | 62.43 | 65.04 | 67.11 | 68.50 | 69.85 | 71.31 | 72.71 | 73.95 | 75.05 | 76.05 | 76.94 | 77.75 |
Laos | 37.82 | 40.42 | 40.42 | 40.42 | 40.42 | 43.51 | 45.75 | 48.27 | 50.78 | 52.49 | 54.50 | 56.50 | 59.00 | 61.50 | 63.74 | 65.88 | 67.88 | 69.61 | 70.96 | 72.15 |
Mali | 31.80 | 33.38 | 34.76 | 36.52 | 37.97 | 39.83 | 42.72 | 44.95 | 46.72 | 47.42 | 47.76 | 49.28 | 51.27 | 53.33 | 55.48 | 57.64 | 59.73 | 61.76 | 63.71 | 65.55 |
Tanzania | 40.46 | 42.53 | 44.73 | 47.05 | 49.51 | 52.12 | 54.75 | 54.93 | 52.44 | 48.16 | 46.02 | 46.57 | 48.33 | 50.39 | 52.68 | 54.94 | 57.03 | 59.01 | 60.91 | 62.76 |
Yemen | 32.55 | 33.97 | 35.18 | 36.98 | 39.85 | 44.17 | 49.11 | 52.92 | 55.66 | 57.71 | 60.33 | 62.67 | 64.87 | 66.91 | 68.74 | 70.14 | 71.21 | 72.17 | 73.04 | 73.84 |