RBA Annual Conference – 2006 Asymmetric Demography and Macroeconomic Interactions Across National Borders
UN medium projection | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1950–1955 | 1955–1960 | 1960–1965 | 1965–1970 | 1970–1975 | 1975–1980 | 1980–1985 | 1985–1990 | 1990–1995 | 1995–2000 | 2000–2005 | 2005–2010 | 2010–2015 | 2015–2020 | 2020–2025 | 2025–2030 | 2030–2035 | 2035–2040 | 2040–2045 | 2045–2050 | |
Source: UN Population Division (2005) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 0.548 | 0.529 | 0.512 | 0.500 | 0.522 | 0.552 | 0.580 | 0.606 | 0.610 | 0.609 | 0.616 | 0.626 | 0.632 | 0.627 | 0.610 | 0.585 | 0.560 | 0.547 | 0.541 | 0.537 |
France | 0.584 | 0.575 | 0.559 | 0.538 | 0.540 | 0.546 | 0.558 | 0.581 | 0.583 | 0.586 | 0.585 | 0.589 | 0.592 | 0.575 | 0.562 | 0.551 | 0.540 | 0.530 | 0.523 | 0.520 |
Germany | 0.599 | 0.593 | 0.599 | 0.586 | 0.563 | 0.562 | 0.574 | 0.615 | 0.633 | 0.630 | 0.623 | 0.610 | 0.608 | 0.612 | 0.602 | 0.580 | 0.548 | 0.522 | 0.518 | 0.520 |
Italy | 0.569 | 0.578 | 0.584 | 0.577 | 0.574 | 0.564 | 0.565 | 0.594 | 0.612 | 0.621 | 0.622 | 0.611 | 0.603 | 0.591 | 0.582 | 0.570 | 0.547 | 0.516 | 0.486 | 0.471 |
Japan | 0.493 | 0.514 | 0.541 | 0.569 | 0.601 | 0.606 | 0.603 | 0.608 | 0.615 | 0.627 | 0.622 | 0.611 | 0.587 | 0.549 | 0.527 | 0.516 | 0.509 | 0.499 | 0.477 | 0.463 |
UK | 0.604 | 0.594 | 0.582 | 0.569 | 0.558 | 0.553 | 0.559 | 0.576 | 0.585 | 0.588 | 0.589 | 0.594 | 0.601 | 0.595 | 0.591 | 0.578 | 0.558 | 0.543 | 0.542 | 0.547 |
US | 0.576 | 0.550 | 0.526 | 0.514 | 0.525 | 0.547 | 0.572 | 0.589 | 0.590 | 0.588 | 0.590 | 0.597 | 0.595 | 0.583 | 0.563 | 0.543 | 0.533 | 0.532 | 0.536 | 0.537 |
Argentina | 0.561 | 0.558 | 0.552 | 0.548 | 0.547 | 0.544 | 0.531 | 0.524 | 0.517 | 0.518 | 0.533 | 0.547 | 0.559 | 0.569 | 0.575 | 0.579 | 0.584 | 0.590 | 0.590 | 0.581 |
Australia | 0.586 | 0.560 | 0.539 | 0.529 | 0.540 | 0.547 | 0.564 | 0.577 | 0.587 | 0.593 | 0.596 | 0.607 | 0.613 | 0.608 | 0.595 | 0.578 | 0.564 | 0.555 | 0.552 | 0.552 |
Brazil | 0.455 | 0.447 | 0.440 | 0.428 | 0.433 | 0.448 | 0.465 | 0.485 | 0.503 | 0.523 | 0.545 | 0.567 | 0.581 | 0.586 | 0.590 | 0.593 | 0.592 | 0.591 | 0.588 | 0.580 |
China | 0.522 | 0.497 | 0.480 | 0.461 | 0.450 | 0.467 | 0.489 | 0.524 | 0.561 | 0.594 | 0.605 | 0.621 | 0.641 | 0.636 | 0.614 | 0.593 | 0.575 | 0.554 | 0.540 | 0.535 |
India | 0.474 | 0.477 | 0.473 | 0.466 | 0.461 | 0.461 | 0.471 | 0.479 | 0.489 | 0.500 | 0.510 | 0.527 | 0.542 | 0.552 | 0.557 | 0.559 | 0.565 | 0.571 | 0.575 | 0.575 |
Indonesia | 0.461 | 0.467 | 0.467 | 0.463 | 0.450 | 0.448 | 0.457 | 0.471 | 0.496 | 0.521 | 0.546 | 0.567 | 0.584 | 0.601 | 0.613 | 0.622 | 0.626 | 0.620 | 0.609 | 0.597 |
Mexico | 0.438 | 0.422 | 0.406 | 0.395 | 0.388 | 0.387 | 0.399 | 0.420 | 0.446 | 0.482 | 0.513 | 0.537 | 0.562 | 0.586 | 0.600 | 0.608 | 0.608 | 0.601 | 0.588 | 0.575 |
Russia | 0.553 | 0.557 | 0.576 | 0.557 | 0.563 | 0.582 | 0.598 | 0.611 | 0.601 | 0.595 | 0.610 | 0.626 | 0.663 | 0.655 | 0.629 | 0.606 | 0.597 | 0.599 | 0.591 | 0.574 |
Saudi Arabia | 0.447 | 0.441 | 0.434 | 0.428 | 0.424 | 0.427 | 0.434 | 0.456 | 0.468 | 0.470 | 0.486 | 0.498 | 0.518 | 0.544 | 0.563 | 0.577 | 0.586 | 0.594 | 0.604 | 0.612 |
South Africa | 0.480 | 0.468 | 0.456 | 0.444 | 0.438 | 0.441 | 0.447 | 0.458 | 0.474 | 0.505 | 0.522 | 0.528 | 0.528 | 0.532 | 0.536 | 0.538 | 0.540 | 0.547 | 0.560 | 0.576 |
South Korea | 0.452 | 0.459 | 0.452 | 0.444 | 0.448 | 0.461 | 0.500 | 0.551 | 0.587 | 0.621 | 0.637 | 0.652 | 0.658 | 0.667 | 0.663 | 0.630 | 0.595 | 0.565 | 0.534 | 0.514 |
Turkey | 0.455 | 0.463 | 0.457 | 0.438 | 0.437 | 0.435 | 0.443 | 0.469 | 0.494 | 0.518 | 0.541 | 0.563 | 0.579 | 0.593 | 0.604 | 0.609 | 0.609 | 0.607 | 0.602 | 0.594 |
Guatemala | 0.421 | 0.420 | 0.418 | 0.413 | 0.416 | 0.419 | 0.412 | 0..407 | 0.404 | 0.403 | 0.406 | 0.416 | 0.428 | 0.446 | 0.467 | 0.493 | 0.519 | 0.545 | 0.567 | 0.585 |
Laos | 0.450 | 0.450 | 0.452 | 0.451 | 0.448 | 0.447 | 0.448 | 0.421 | 0.422 | 0.422 | 0.433 | 0.443 | 0.466 | 0.487 | 0.507 | 0.536 | 0.546 | 0.565 | 0.582 | 0.596 |
Mali | 0.420 | 0.429 | 0.434 | 0.432 | 0.425 | 0.416 | 0.404 | 0.390 | 0.383 | 0.379 | 0.375 | 0.381 | 0.384 | 0.394 | 0.408 | 0.423 | 0.440 | 0.460 | 0.481 | 0.504 |
Tanzania | 0.414 | 0.416 | 0.416 | 0.415 | 0.414 | 0.410 | 0.408 | 0.409 | 0.411 | 0.414 | 0.418 | 0.425 | 0.442 | 0.461 | 0.482 | 0.505 | 0.528 | 0.551 | 0.573 | 0.590 |
Yemen | 0.438 | 0.422 | 0.408 | 0.395 | 0.377 | 0.362 | 0.365 | 0.362 | 0.359 | 0.372 | 0.378 | 0.396 | 0.415 | 0.431 | 0.447 | 0.466 | 0.490 | 0.517 | 0.541 | 0.558 |