RBA Annual Conference – 2009 The Economic Consequences of Oil Shocks: Differences across Countries and Time
Oil(a) | Non-oil energy(a) | Total energy(a) | Oil supply(b) | Global activity(b) | Oil-specific demand(b) | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net import | Production | Total | Net import | Production | Total | Net import | Production | Total | GDP(c) | CPI(c) | GDP(d) | CPI(c) | GDP(d) | CPI(c) | |||||||
(a) Averages for 1986–2008 based on IEA data measured
as (tonnes of oil equivalent)/GDP (US$ million, PPP-weighted)
of respectively crude oil, total energy excluding crude
oil, and total energy (b) Cumulated percentage change (c) Estimated median impulse responses in the long run (20 quarters); comparison of permanent effects (d) Estimated maximum median impulse responses; comparison of short-run effects Sources: IEA; authors' calculations |
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United States | 55 | 41 | 96 | 2 | 156 | 158 | 57 | 197 | 254 | −0.31 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.61 | −0.46 | 0.50 | ||||||
Euro area | 71 | 2 | 73 | 30 | 65 | 95 | 101 | 67 | 168 | −0.32 | 0.58 | 0.33 | 0.65 | −0.44 | 0.11 | ||||||
Japan | 67 | 0 | 67 | 62 | 29 | 91 | 129 | 29 | 158 | −0.40 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.53 | −1.10 | 0.18 | ||||||
Switzerland | 22 | 0 | 22 | 47 | 50 | 97 | 69 | 50 | 119 | −0.29 | 0.88 | 0.23 | 0.51 | −0.22 | 0.23 | ||||||
United Kingdom | −21 | 79 | 58 | 11 | 95 | 106 | −10 | 174 | 164 | 0.02 | −0.29 | 0.12 | 0.60 | −0.72 | −1.99 | ||||||
Canada | −16 | 109 | 93 | −116 | 329 | 213 | −132 | 438 | 306 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.47 | −0.79 | −0.60 | ||||||
Australia | 7 | 53 | 60 | −220 | 375 | 155 | −213 | 428 | 215 | 0.00 | −0.40 | 0.21 | 0.85 | −0.40 | 0.48 | ||||||
Norway | −704 | 815 | 111 | −331 | 398 | 67 | −1,035 | 1,213 | 178 | 0.26 | −0.22 | 0.38 | 1.58 | −0.71 | 0.00 |