RDP 8802: Var Forecasting Models of the Australian Economy: A Preliminary Analysis Equation (3a)

d t i = d t-1 i + Y t + μ t where μ t isdistributedN( 0, σ μ 2 ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqbaeaabeGaaa qaaiaabsgadaqhaaWcbaGaaeiDaaqaaiaabMgaaaGccaqG9aGaaGPa VlaabsgadaqhaaWcbaGaaeiDaiaab2cacaqGXaaabaGaaeyAaaaaki aabUcacaaMc8UaaeywamaaBaaaleaacaqG0baabeaakiaaykW7caqG RaGaaGPaVlaabY7adaWgaaWcbaGaaeiDaaqabaaakeaacaqG3bGaae iAaiaabwgacaqGYbGaaeyzaiaaykW7caqG8oWaaSbaaSqaaiaabsha aeqaaOGaaGPaVlaabMgacaqGZbGaaGPaVlaabsgacaqGPbGaae4Cai aabshacaqGYbGaaeyAaiaabkgacaqG1bGaaeiDaiaabwgacaqGKbGa aGPaVlaab6eacaaMc8+aaeWaaeaacaqGWaGaaeilaiabeo8aZnaaDa aaleaacaqG8oaabaGaaeOmaaaaaOGaayjkaiaawMcaaaaaaaa@6CCB@