RDP 8802: Var Forecasting Models of the Australian Economy: A Preliminary Analysis Equation (3b)

Y t = Y t-1 + v t and v t isdistributedN( 0,s v 2 ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqbaeaabeGaaa qaaiaabMfadaWgaaWcbaGaaeiDaaqabaGccaqG9aGaaGPaVlaabMfa daWgaaWcbaGaaeiDaiaab2cacaqGXaaabeaakiaabUcacaaMc8Uaae ODamaaBaaaleaacaqG0baabeaaaOqaaiaabggacaqGUbGaaeizaiaa ykW7caqG2bWaaSbaaSqaaiaabshaaeqaaOGaaGPaVlaabMgacaqGZb GaaGPaVlaabsgacaqGPbGaae4CaiaabshacaqGYbGaaeyAaiaabkga caqG1bGaaeiDaiaabwgacaqGKbGaaGPaVlaab6eacaaMc8+aaeWaae aacaqGWaGaaeilaiaabohadaqhaaWcbaGaaeODaaqaaiaabkdaaaaa kiaawIcacaGLPaaaaaaaaa@6178@