RDP 2004-07: The Profitability of Speculators in Currency Futures Markets Equation (4)

P t+τ P t = α 0 + α 1 ( i t,AAA i t,BAA )+ α 2 D Y t,US + α 3 i t,US MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGaamiuamaaBa aaleaacaWG0bGaey4kaSIaeqiXdqhabeaakiabgkHiTiaadcfadaWg aaWcbaGaamiDaaqabaGccqGH9aqpcqaHXoqydaWgaaWcbaGaaGimaa qabaGccqGHRaWkcqaHXoqydaWgaaWcbaGaaGymaaqabaGcdaqadaqa aiaadMgadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaiaacYcacaWGbbGaamyqaiaadgeaae qaaOGaeyOeI0IaamyAamaaBaaaleaacaWG0bGaaiilaiaadkeacaWG bbGaamyqaaqabaaakiaawIcacaGLPaaacqGHRaWkcqaHXoqydaWgaa WcbaGaaGOmaaqabaGccaWGebGaamywamaaBaaaleaacaWG0bGaaiil aiaadwfacaWGtbaabeaakiabgUcaRiabeg7aHnaaBaaaleaacaaIZa aabeaakiaadMgadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaiaacYcacaWGvbGaam4uaaqa baaaaa@61E2@