RDP 1977-05: Modelling Monetary Disequilibrium Appendix C: Parameter Estimates and Test Statistics for Models 4 and 5

TABLE C.1: PARAMETER ESTIMATES FOR GROUP 1 EQUATIONS
1959(3) – 1975(4)
MODEL 4 MODEL 5
Parameter Estimate t-ratio Parammeter Estimate t-ratio
α1 .5391 5.99 α1 .8072 9.62
α2 1.3107 5.19 α2 1.3235 3.31
α3 .1   α3 .1  
α4 1.9771 5.83 α4 0.1083 3.42
α5 .1335 3.72 α5 .1226 5.48
α6 .0650 3.96 α6 .0278 8.91
α7 .3049 4.89 α7 .3245 3.13
α8 .5902 4.28 α8 .13279 3.04
α9 .2003 3.51 α9 .2132 3.63
α10 0.0   α10 0.0  
α11 0.0   α11 0.0  
α26 −.0149 .75 α26 .3077 .35
γ1 −.1659 4.36 γ1 −.1663 4.28
γ2 0.0   γ2 3.9  
γ3 .0763 5.92 γ3 −.8068 .68
γ4 −.2003 5.76 γ4 −.2233 3.80
γ5 0.0   γ5 0.0  
γ6 −.2090 6.68 γ6 −.2387 6.55
γ7 0.0   γ7 1.0  
λ1 .012   λ1 −.712  
λ2 .0144 6.25 λ2 .1143 9.37
λ3 .0025   λ3 .0035  
λ4 .020   λ4 .020  
β1 1.0   β1 −.8  
β2 −1.430 3.18 β2 −.3595 2.01
β3 −3.6838 4.25 β3 −3.2068 4.60
β4 −1.6423 2.45 β4 −1.1095 1.90
β5 −.01   β5 −.11  
β6 .0114 .19 β6 .1956 1.08
β7 .3   β7 .3  
β8 −.2849 10.66 β8 −.2503 8.00
β9 .7   β9 .7  
β10 .8   β10 .8  
β11 .0829 4.88 β11 .8028 .22
β12 0.0   β12 0.0  
β13 .1   β13 .1  
β14 0.0   β14 0.0  
β15 .2358 7.31 β15 .1704 12.15
β16 1.7114 9.86 β16 1.7049 9.33
β17 .4303 6.51 β17 .4920 8.87
β18 .2108 2.64 β18 .3365 1.61
β19 0.0   β19 0.0  
β20 0.0   β20 0.0  
β21 0.0   β21 0.0  
β22 0.0   β22 0.0  
β23 0.0   β23 0.0  
    β3* −81.1851 .78
    β4* 82.3468 .70
    β5* −7.7269 .76
    β6*    
TABLE C.2: PARAMETER ESTIMATES FOR GROUP 2 EQUATIONS
1959(3) – 1975(4)
Parameter Estimate t-ratio Parameter Estimate t-ratio
α12 .1338 5.89 α12 .1287 5.88
α13 1.5077 7.51 α13 1.4782 7.95
α14 2.0   α14 2.0  
α15 .9661 7.16 α15 1.3517 7.04
α16 .5   α16 .5  
α17 1.7525 6.49 α17 1.6939 5.01
α18 .1234 8.24 α18 .1366 8.49
α19 .26   α19 .26  
α20 1.7856 6.20 α20 1.3870 6.54
α21 .0640 1.20 α21 .0883 1.68
α22 .8305 4.75 α22 .7198 4.35
α23 .0618 1.67 α23 −.0085 1.32
α24 .0623 3.59 α24 .0215 1.12
α25 .0715 9.13 α25 .0306 3.50
β24 −.2633 2.93 β24 .3365 3.61
β25 −.3501 5.68 β25 −.2363 4.24
β26 .2195 4.53 β26 .2406 5.45
β27 −.8117 8.98 β17 −.7134 9.68
β28 .5   β28 .5  
β29 1.9429 4.74 β29 2.5580 5.08
β30 .0697 1.87 β30 .0145 .40
β31 −.7908 8.32 β31 −.8097 12.70
β32 .1787 4.41 β32 .0525 1.69
β33 .8045 36.99 β33 .8293 34.57
β34 13.44 6.05 β34 12.7146 6.47
β35 −.2   β35 −.2  
β36 2.0527 13.61 β36 2.0758 17.39
β37 .0716 3.85 β37 .0930 4.88
β38 −.0135 2.50 β38 −.0174 3.69
β39 .0376 10.62 β39 .0451 13.66
β40 −1.7144 2.58 β40 −2.9445 3.96
β41 2.3117 2.58 β41 3.0649 3.76
β42 1.1321 49.17 β42 1.0546 40.36
β43 .0279 6.43 β43 .0074 10.88
β44 −.0285 3.64 β44 −.0068 .69
β45 5.4425 .88 β45 .2646 5.87
β46 −.1260 4.87 β46 −.0116 3.89
β47 .4482 3.34 β47 .1795 8.56
β48 −.0557 5.45 β48 −.0255 5.85
β49 6.3225 .61 β49 −.1466 .45
β50 −.1863 5.47 β50 −.0616 4.06
β51 .3026 1.63 β51 .1361 1.20
β52 .1249 10.77 β52 .1064 11.99
β53 .0597 9.43 β53 .0614 13.23
TABLE C.3: TEST STATISTICS FOR MODELS 4 AND 5
Variable MODEL 4 MODEL 5
r2 RMSPE1 RMSPE2 r2 RMSPE1 RMSPE2
d .1564 .9 3.0 .1097 .9 1.2
k .3896 .002* .003* .4331 .002* .002*
l .2213 .006* .005* .3760 .005* .004
P .5300 1.0 7.4 .4626 1.0 6.8
Px .1866 3.1 12.7 .2241 2.9 6.6
W .5215 .9 8.4 .5873 .8 5.0
F .1896 6.1 79.6 .2807 5.0 59.8
M .0.000 1.1 6.8 .4060 .9 6.7
N .3138 .2 1.3 .3256 .2 0.9
x .3143 7.0 7.1 .3778 6.2 5.5
i .3440 4.7 20.4 .3310 5.0 12.2
y .2304 2.1 2.6 .2729 2.3 2.8
Pg .1573 2.3 10.2 .1759 2.5 7.4
B .2520 1.5 19.6 .3227 1.0 9.8
A .4317 1.1 5.5 .5587 1.0 4.6
T1 .4075 8.2 11.5 .4546 7.4 10.0
T2 .2645 2.6 12.0 .2661 2.6 8.8
R .0264 8.0 35.0 .0933 7.4 33.7
v .6480 1.1 8.1 .5879 1.2 6.5
r .4652 .009* .018* .6331 .001* .007*
B .5400 1.4 11.2 .7705 .8 6.2
x .0943 1.4 25.0 .1497 1.0 2.6
C .6025 1.0 7.3 .6352 6.0 4.9
K .6602 .1 3.4 .6858 .1 0.9
L .4861 .3 2.6 .6369 .2 1.2