RDP 9203: Real Exchange Rates and the Globalisation of Financial Markets Charts
March 1992
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Unexplained Real Exchange Rate Movements About Equilibrium: the Cointegrating Residuals

3-Month Interest Rates Differentials – on-shore deposits minus off-shore deposits

Covered Interest Disparities Using Treasury Bill Rates

Estimated Savings-Investment Correlations: Pooled Data

where I is total non-government investment, Y is GNP/GDP, S is equal to when ST
is total savings, SG is government. saving and
is an
estimated Ricardian effect. Estimating this equation using only cross-section data on the
countries in the sample, the United States, Japan, Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and Switzerland does not yield a
sufficient number of observations to provide reliable estimates of Φ. Thus pooled
time-series-cross-section data are employed. A constant inventory of 40 observations (10
countries by 4 quarters) were maintained in the sample with quarter t's estimate of
, obtained
by adding the quarter' s values of the relevant variables for all the countries and deleting
those for quarter t−4. The discontinuous lines represent two standard error estimates for
the
.