RDP 9808: What Moves Yields in Australia? Appendix A: International Influences
July 1998
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Bill yields | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Episode I | Episode II | Episode III | Whole period | |||||
Constant | 2.1 | (8.45) | 1.3 | (9.10) | 1.5 | (7.68) | 1.5 | (13.16) |
Australian news | 2.7 | (2.71) | 1.2 | (2.47) | 2.5 | (3.80) | 2.1 | (4.89) |
US news | 2.0 | (3.35) | 1.8 | (3.21) | 0.6 | (2.22) | 1.5 | (4.98) |
S1 | 0.4 | (5.60) | 0.4 | (7.05) | 0.3 | (1.41) | 0.5 | (8.28) |
S2 | 0.2 | (2.76) | 0.1 | (2.25) | 0.0 | (0.39) | 0.2 | (3.50) |
Adjusted R2 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.13 | ||||
DW statistic | 2.02 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.04 | ||||
S E of regression | 5.08 | 3.05 | 3.05 | 3.92 | ||||
Number of observations | 604 | 595 | 607 | 1806 | ||||
Bond yields | ||||||||
Episode I | Episode II | Episode III | Whole period | |||||
Constant | 5.2 | (12.65) | 4.1 | (14.09) | 3.3 | (15.44) | 3.9 | (22.47) |
Australian news | 0.7 | (0.97) | 1.5 | (2.69) | 1.6 | (3.31) | 1.2 | (3.40) |
US News | 4.3 | (5.63) | 2.5 | (2.87) | 2.9 | (5.52) | 3.3 | (6.94) |
S1 | 0.2 | (4.35) | 0.1 | (1.29) | 0.0 | (−0.04) | 0.2 | (4.62) |
S2 | 0.1 | (2.75) | 0.1 | (1.17) | 0.1 | (0.85) | 0.1 | (4.68) |
Adjusted R2 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.07 | ||||
DW statistic | 1.95 | 1.96 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||||
S E of regression | 5.98 | 4.79 | 3.44 | 4.97 | ||||
Number of observations | 604 | 595 | 607 | 1806 | ||||
Notes: T-ratios are in parentheses. |