RDP 2002-07: An Exploration of Marginal Attachment to the Australian Labour Market Appendix B: PRG Transition Probabilities for the Unemployed and Marginally Attached

Matthew Gray, Alexandra Heath and Boyd Hunter

November 2002

Table B1: PRG Transition Probabilities between Labour Force States
  Later labour force status  
From 1 June 1995 Employment Unemployment Marginally attached Other NILF Total number
3-month horizon probabilities
(1 September 1995)
Unemployment 33.3 (5.9) 63.3 (5.9) 2.4 (1.7) 1.0 (1.0) 137
Marginally attached 5.8 (2.1) 7.0 (3.2) 87.3 (3.8) 0.0 (na) 117
12-month horizon probabilities
(1 June 1996)
Unemployment 54.5 (5.6) 35.1 (5.1) 5.4 (2.1) 5.0 (2.2) 137
Marginally attached 19.5 (4.1) 11.0 (4.3) 67.1 (5.6) 2.3 (1.6) 117
24-month horizon probabilities
(1 June 1997)
Unemployment 56.9 (5.5) 24.1 (4.3) 9.1 (2.7) 9.9 (2.9) 137
Marginally attached 24.0 (4.9) 8.6 (2.8) 48.7 (6.3) 18.7 (7.1) 117

Notes: Weighted sample. Standard errors are shown in brackets.