Researcher Profiles Richard Finlay
Domestic Markets Department (on extended leave)
Current research interests: financial markets, mathematical statistics
Contact: finlayr@rba.gov.au
Richard currently works in the Domestic Markets dealing room. He holds a PhD in mathematical statistics from the University of Sydney, and a PhD in Economics from the University of NSW.
Academic publications
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‘The Yield and Market Function Effects of the Reserve Bank of Australia's Bond Purchases’
Economic Record, 99(326), pp 359–384.
Also released as RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2022-02. -
‘Where's the Money‽ An Investigation into the Whereabouts and Uses of Australian Banknotes’
Australia Economic Review, 53(1), pp 22–34.
Also released as RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2018-12. - ‘A Scalar-valued Infinitely Divisible Random Field with Pólya Autocorrelation’ Statistics and Probability Letters, 122, pp 141–146.
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‘Household Saving in Australia’
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 15(2), pp 677–704.
Also released as RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2014-03. -
‘A State-space Approach to Australian Gross Domestic Product Measurement’
Australia Economic Review, 48(2), pp 133–149.
Also released as RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2014-12. - ‘Housing Wealth Effects: Evidence from an Australian Panel’ Economica, 82(327), pp 552–577.
- ‘Credit Supply Shocks and the Global Financial Crisis in Three Small Open Economies’ Journal of Macroeconomics, 40, pp 270–276.
- ‘Random Fields with Pólya Correlation Structure’ Journal of Applied Probability, 51(4), pp 1,037–1,050.
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‘Estimating Inflation Expectations with a Limited Number of Inflation-Indexed Bonds’
International Journal of Central Banking, 8(2), pp 111–142.
Also released as RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2011-01. - ‘A Generalized Hyperbolic Model for a Risky Asset with Dependence’ Statistics and Probability Letters, 82(12), pp 2,164–2,169.
- ‘An Inverse Gamma Activity Time Process with Noninteger Parameters and a Self-Similar Limit’ Journal of Applied Probability, 49(2), pp 441–450.
- ‘Time-Varying Term Premia and the Expectations Hypothesis in Australia’ Applied Economics Letters, 18(2), pp 133–136.
- ‘Autocorrelation Functions’ International Statistical Review, 79(2), pp 255–271.
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‘A Term Structure Decomposition of the Australian Yield Curve’
Economic Record, 85(271), pp 383–400
Also released as RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2008-09. - ‘Option Pricing with VG–like Models’ International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 11(8), pp 943–955.
- ‘Stationary-Increment Variance-Gamma and T Models: Simulation and Parameter Estimation’ International Statistical Review, 76(2), pp 167–186.
- ‘A Gamma Activity Time Process with Noninteger Parameter and Self-Similar Limit’ Journal of Applied Probability, 44(4), pp 950–959.
- ‘Stationary-Increment Student and Variance-Gamma Processes’ Journal of Applied Probability, 43(2), pp 441–453.
Other Research Papers
- ‘Forecasting banknote demand at the Reserve Bank of Australia’ Proceedings of the ISI World Statistics Congress 2019, Special Topic Session Volume 4, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 18–23 August.
- ‘Affine Endeavour: Estimating a Joint Model of the Nominal and Real Term Structures of Interest Rates in Australia’ RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2018-02.
- ‘Repo market functioning’ CGFS Papers No 59.
- ‘Home Prices and Household Spending’ RBA Research Discussion Paper No 2013-04.
Policy Publications
- ‘An Initial Assessment of the Reserve Bank's Bond Purchase Program’ RBA Bulletin, June.
- ‘Government Bond Market Functioning and COVID-19’ RBA Bulletin, September.
- ‘Cash Use in Australia: Results from the 2019 Consumer Payments Survey’ RBA Bulletin, June.
- ‘A Cost-benefit Analysis of Polymer Banknotes’ RBA Bulletin, December.
- ‘A Brief History of Currency Counterfeiting’ RBA Bulletin, September.
- ‘Cash Withdrawal Symptoms’ RBA Bulletin, June.
- ‘Understanding Demand for Australia's Banknotes’ RBA Bulletin, December.
- ‘The distribution of household spending in Australia’ RBA Bulletin, March.
- ‘The Rise in Household Saving’ RBA Bulletin, June.
- ‘The Distribution of Household Wealth in Australia: Evidence from the 2010 HILDA Survey’ RBA Bulletin, March.
- ‘Extracting Information from Financial Market Instruments’ RBA Bulletin, March.
- ‘Dwelling Prices and Household Income’ RBA Bulletin, December.